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分析了开展油气长输管线安全性、可靠性和风险分析研究的重要性，说明了管线可靠性研究必须从防腐层开始，提出了管道本体安全性问题的三个研究领域：剩余强度、剩余寿命和风险分析技术。由于需要广泛的考虑众多主客观不确定性因素，还提出了模糊风险分析的研究思想。最后，为全面解决管线可靠性问题提出了需要进一步研究的方向。
Abstract：The importance of safety,reliability and risk technlology of the pipeline is analyzed in this article. It is shown that the study on the reliability of Pipeline must from the coating.In this article,three fields of the problems of pipeline have been put forward;that is; the residual, Strength,residual lifetime and risk analysls.Because of numerous subjective / objective uncertainty factors,the ideal of fuzzy risk analysis is advanced.Finally, some more research aspects are brought forward to resolve overall reliability problems of pipeline.
1 Coulson K. E. W. Pipe Corrosion - conclusion, New Guidelines Promise MoreAccurate Damage Assessment. Oil GasJ., 88(15), 1990,41 - 44
2 Stephens D. R., Research Seeks MorePrecise Corrosion Defect Assessment.Pipeline Industry,77(8), 1994,52 - 55
3 W. Kent Muhlbauer. Pipeline Risk Management Manual. Second Edition. GulfPublishing Company, Houston, Texas,1996
4张鹏,段永红.长输管线风险技术的 研究.天然气工业, 1998
5 Zhang Peng, Fuzzy Assessment of PipelineRisk, Ist Inter. Conf. On Computer Simulation in Risk Analysis & Hazard Mitigation, Spain, 1998
基本信息:
DOI：10.20029/j.issn.1004-1346.2000.09.004
中图分类号:TE832
引用信息:
[1]张鹏.油气长输管线的安全性、可靠性和风险技术的研究策略 [J].石油工业技术监督,2000(09):5-8.DOI:10.20029/j.issn.1004-1346.2000.09.004.
基金信息:
油气藏地质及开发工程国家重点实验室开放基金;; 石油管力学与环境行为重点实验室开放基金
2000-09-30
2000-09-30